Transcript  of a BriefingsDirect podcast on how adopting cloud computing models can lead  enterprises to gain business and technology benefits.Listen to the podcast. Find     it on iTunes/iPod       and Podcast.com. Download       the transcript.  Sponsor: HP.Dana Gardner: Hi, this is 
Dana Gardner, principal       analyst at 
Interarbor       Solutions, and you’re listening to 
BriefingsDirect. Welcome to a sponsored podcast discussion on identifying the top reasons  and paybacks for adopting 
cloud computing.
Like any other big change   affecting business and IT, if   cloud,  in its many forms, gains traction, then 

adopters   will require a lot of  rationales, incentives, and measurable returns to    keep progressing  successfully. But, just as the definition of cloud  computing itself can elicit myriad responses, the same is true for 
why  an organization should encourage cloud computing.
The major paybacks are  not clearly agreed upon, for sure. Are the paybacks purely in economic  terms? Is cloud a route 
to IT efficiency primarily? Are the business  agility benefits paramount? Or, does cloud transform business and  markets in ways not yet fully understood?
We'll seek a list of  the top reasons why exploiting cloud computing models make sense, and  why at least experimenting with cloud should be done sooner rather than  later. We have assembled a panel of cloud experts  to put some  serious wood behind the arrow leading to the cloud.
Please join  me now in welcoming 
Archie  Reed, HP's Chief Technologist for 
Cloud  Security and the author of several publications including 
The Definitive Guide  to Identity Management and a new book, 
The  Concise Guide to Cloud Computing. Welcome back to the show,  Archie.
Archie Reed: Thanks very much, Dana.
Gardner:  We're also here with 
Jim  Reavis, executive director of the 
Cloud Security Alliance  (CSA) and president of 
Reavis  Consulting Group. Welcome back to you too, Jim.
Jim  Reavis: Pleasure to be here, Dana.
Gardner: And we are  also here with 
Dave  Linthicum, Chief Technology Officer of 
Bick Group and also a 
prolific  cloud blogger and 
author. Welcome back to you as well, Dave.
Dave  Linthicum: Thanks for having me, Dana.
Gardner: Let  me go first to you, Jim, and then to Archie. At the 
RSA Conference, the  CSA and HP announced some findings around "
Seven  Deadly Sins" for cloud adoption. Tell us a little bit about those  Seven Deadly Sins, 
some of the negative issues, before we delve into  some of the positive, some of the perhaps 
heavenly delights of cloud, if you  will.
Foregone conclusionReavis: Thanks, Dana. The reason we produce 
these  threat listings and do everything we are 

doing  at CSA is that we believe that adopting cloud is a foregone conclusion.  We're going to be spending a lot of time on 
this webcast talking about  the benefits. So, it’s to help people do it in the most appropriate and  secure way.
You can find the full listing of the Seven Deadly  Sins at 
cloudsecurityalliance.org  website, under "Top Threats." I'm not going to list them all in detail.  We found that, when you think about going to the cloud, it’s not just  security issues that enterprises are concerned about, but rather  compliance. A lot of the transparency issues on what your provider is  doing becomes something that we want to think about and be really  concerned about.
Data is something that we identified as a key  threat issue. You want to know where your data is. You want to know how  it’s being controlled. You want to prevent it from being leaked or lost  completely. Obviously, that goes with any type of computing, but it's  certainly something, as we move to this new model, that you want to  understand and be concerned about.
We certainly don’t think what we produced was alarmist, but  rather to  help people adopt cloud.
Then, there's just a  variety of things where we want to understand how bad guys will start  using the cloud, what new specific issues there are, and when we have  the shared infrastructure, how bad people might be able to get in in  some way or another and use some form of privilege escalation through  virtualization or other sorts of techniques to be able to move into  areas where they aren’t allowed.
It’s definitely food for  thought. It’s part of your whole risk-management process, when you think  about how to take a certain business initiative and use a certain cloud  system to accomplish that goal. That’s the whole point of it, and we've  gotten pretty good feedback. We certainly don’t think what we produced  was alarmist, but rather to help people adopt cloud.
Gardner:  Archie Reed, a lot of companies that I've talked to are trying to do  this 
cost-benefit analysis about cloud and what they should be doing. In  order to understand that, you have to look at what you need to do to  prevent the risks from getting out of hand, but you also need to know  about what you get in return for doing it well.
Let’s look at  this cost-benefit analysis. We have a good sense of some of the  negatives, what you need to do, and some of the investments. What are  some of the high-level potentials? What are the paybacks that would  balance out some of those risks and investments?
Reed:  Thanks, Dana. Just to reiterate what Jim said previously around the  Seven Deadly Sins, 

in  order to understand what the cost benefits are, what the impact to an  organization is going to be, you have to be aware of the risk analysis  you are going to undertake that feeds into a cost-benefit analysis.
I  just want to make a couple of points about the top threats, as we lead  into these things. First off, it was all about awareness or  enlightenment. Given the tone of our discussion today, the key was, as  Jim said, not to be alarmist, but to create awareness.
If you  don’t understand what’s going on inside the cloud environment that  you're using, be it public or private, or some hybrid of those things,  then you can't really get the benefits that you're looking for, because  you haven’t taken into account the overall risks that are associated  with that.
The same risks
Interestingly,  when we look at this list, if we received any criticism for it at all,  it was that it presents the same risks that any large, outsourced  business service might encounter. Fundamentally, you need to follow good  security practices.
So, when we go into all of this discussion  around what is the benefit, we need to do our standard risk analysis.  There’s nothing too much that's new here, but what we do see is that  when you get to the cloud and you're doing that assessment, it comes  down to agility.
Agility, in this sense, has the dimensions of  speed at scale. For businesses, that can be quite compelling in terms of  economic return and business agility, which is another variation on the  theme. But, we gain this through the attributes we ascribe to cloud --   things like instant on/off, huge scale, per-use billing, all the things  we tried to achieve previously but finally seem to be able to get with a  cloud-computing architectural model.
The risks may go down, if it’s a private environment.
If  we're going to do the cost-benefit analysis, it does come down to the  fact that, through that per-use billing, we're able to do this in a much  more fine-grain manner and then compare to the risks that we are going  to encounter as a result of using this type of environment. Again,  that's regardless of whether it’s public or private. The risks may go  down, if it’s a private environment.
Factoring all those things  in together, there's not too much of a new model in how we try to  achieve this justification and gain those benefits.
Gardner:  Dave Linthicum, we've 
talked about this a bit in the past and one of  things that was memorable in talking with you is that you seem to think  that we shouldn’t look at cloud computing through a cost savings lens.  It may not even be cheaper or more cost efficient, but you had other,  more pressing reasons for moving into the cloud.
First, if I'm  correct, explain your rationale on the cost issue and then also what you  think are some of the top motivators?
Linthicum: The  mistake that a lot of people make is that they go directly for the 
OPEX versus 
 CAPEX
CAPEX cost. In other  words, they're sick of buying waves and waves of servers for their 
data centers and  sick of paying 
co-los  and all those sorts of things. They really want to get into a "pay per  drink" cost model in how they consume compute cycles, storage, and all  the other things that are kind of innate to the data center.
One  of the issues is that public cloud computing providers typically -- and  sometimes private cloud computing infrastructure that you set up -- are  going to be more expensive than a lot of existing infrastructures.  That’s misunderstood out there, unless you are like me and for the last  two years have done the analysis over and over again.
However,  the notion of business agility, which I heard mentioned, is really where  the money is made. It's the ability to scale up and scale down, the  ability to allocate compute resources around business opportunities, and  the ability to align the business to new markets quickly and  efficiently, without doing waves and waves of software acquisitions,  setups, installs, and all the risks around doing that. That's really  where the core benefit is.
If you look at that and you look at  the strategic value of agility within your enterprise, it’s always  different. In other words, your value of agility is going to vary  greatly between a high tech company, a finance company, and a  manufacturing company. You can come up with the business benefit and the  reason for moving into cloud computing, and people have a tendency not  to think that way.
Innate risksThe point I already made  -- and I agree with the guests  -- is that you have to weigh that benefit 

in line  with the innate risks in moving to these platforms. Whether or not you  are moving from on-premises to off-premises, on-premies to cloud, or traditional  on-premises to private cloud computing, there’s always risk involved in  terms of how 
you do security, governance, latency, and those things.
Once  you factor those things in and you understand what the value drivers  are in both OPEX and CAPEX cost and the trade-offs there, as well as  business agility, and weigh in the risk, then you have your equation,  and it comes down to a business decision. Nine times out of ten, the  cloud computing provider is going to provide a more strategic IT value  than traditional computing platforms.
Gardner: Going back  to you, Jim, when we think about the benefits of cloud in general, it  seems that most people gravitate to this as a way in which we can recast  IT processes and functions. But, in a lot of ways, I think there’s just  as much interest around using the cloud as a way of reaching audiences,  providing services, linking up partners in an ecosystem or process  marketplace in ways that hadn’t been possible before.
Do you  think it’s a good idea for us to not just think about cloud as a benefit  to efficiency and transformation at the IT level, but that in gaining  cloud expertise, there's the opportunity to do things vis-à-vis  supplying your customers, finding your customers, and even in joining  with suppliers in a new way?
Reavis: I'd agree with that,  and it echoes a little bit of what Dave has said. When you think about  economics, what’s the core of economics? It's supply and demand. Cloud  gives you that ability to more efficiently serve your customers. It  becomes a customer-service issue, where you can provide a supply of  whatever your service is that really fits with their demand.
Their business would not have been  able to exist in the earlier era of  the Internet. It’s just not  possible.
Ten years ago I started a little minor success in  the Internet dot-com days. It was called Securityportal.com. You all  remember something called the 
"Slashdot effect," where a story would get  posted on 
Slashdot  and it would basically take your business out. You would have an outage,  because so much traffic would go your way.
We would, on the one  hand, love those sorts of things, and we would live in fear of when that  would happen, when we would get recognition, because we didn’t have  cloud-based models for servicing our customers. So, when good things  would happen, it would sometimes be a bad thing for us.
I had a  chance to spend a lot of time with an online gaming company, and the way  they've been able to scale up would only be possible in the cloud.  Their business would not have been able to exist in the earlier era of  the Internet. It’s just not possible.
So, yeah, it provides us  this whole new platform. I've maintained all along that we're not just  going to migrate IT into the cloud, but we're going to reinvent new  businesses, new business processes, and new ways of having an  intermediary relationship with other suppliers and our customers as  well. So it’s going to be very, very transformational.
Gardner:  Similar question to you, Archie. When HP looks at the potential for  cloud in its own right as a company, I should think that there is a lot  of interest and efficiency for delivering services and providing a cloud  capability for that. You've already got a lot of 
software-as-a-service (SaaS)-based services for 
application lifecycle management, and test and dev,  and so forth. How do you see the difference between cloud as it affects  IT and then cloud as it affects business?
Outcomes are coreReed: At HP, when we talk to customers and even try  to evaluate internally, we talk about this thing called business  outcomes being core to how IT and business align. Whether they're small  companies or large companies, it's providing services that support the  business outcomes and understanding that ultimately you want to deliver.
In  business terms, it's more processing of loan requests and financial  transactions. Then, if that’s the measure that people are looking at  what the business outcomes need to be, then IT can align with that and  they become the service provider for that capability.
We've  talked to a lot of customers, particularly in the financial industry,  for example, where IT wasn’t measured in how they cut costs or how much  staff they had. They were measured in incremental improvements on how  many advances could be made in delivering more business capability.
In  that example, one particular business metric was, "We can process more  loans in a day, when necessary." The way they achieved that was by  re-architecting things in a more cloud or service-centric way, wherein  they could essentially ramp up, on what they called a private cloud, the  ability to process things much more quickly.
Now, many in IT  realize -- perhaps not enough, but we're seeing the change -- that they  need to make this toward the 
service  oriented architecture (SOA) approach and delivery, such that they  are becoming experts in brokering the right solution to deliver the most  significant business outcomes.
That  becomes the latency that drives the lateness of the business  process  changes that need to occur within the enterprise.
The source  of those services is less about how much hardware and software you need  to buy and integrate and all that sort of thing, and more about the most  economical and secure way that they can deliver the majority of desired  outcomes. You don’t just want to build one service to provide a  capability. You want to build an environment and an architecture that  achieves the bulk of the desired outcomes. Does that make sense?
Gardner:  Sure. Dave Linthicum, we talked about agility, let’s see if we can  unpack that a little bit and get a little bit more detail. That’s kind  of a general umbrella topic or a moniker.
When we think about  business process, if you're focused at the business process level, and I  think that’s what Archie was alluding to, rather than the supporting  infrastructure or the applications, if we start composing business  processes from services, rather than discrete applications, it seems to  me we gain an opportunity to be responsive. That is to say, a business  process can be examined and then perhaps some data analysis can be  applied. Then, we can ask how do we do that better.
Does cloud  computing allow us to then adjust a business process or even come up  with innovations built upon existing processes in ways that traditional  IT simply can’t or just can’t within the necessary time frame?
Linthicum:  Yes. The latency that people are running into in traditional IT is not  really aligning the business processes, because usually they have the  ability to do that in one way or form, either in composites or a true  business process layer, which already exists. It’s the ability to stand  up the services that they need in terms of storage, compute, different  things like risk analytics in the financial market, and how all those  things basically tie together. That becomes the latency that drives the  lateness of the business process changes that need to occur within the  enterprise.
Additional capabilitiesCloud computing will provide us with some additional  capabilities. It's not necessarily nirvana, but you can get at compute  and you can get at even some of these pretty big services. For example,  the 
Predictive  API that Google just announced at 
Google I/O recently  is an amazing piece of 
data-mining stuff  that you can get for free, for now.
The ability to tie that into  your existing processes and perhaps make some predictions in terms of  inventory control things, means you could save potentially a million  dollars a month, supporting just-in-time inventory processes within your  enterprise. Those sorts of things really need to come into the mix in  order to provide the additional value.
Sometimes we can drive  processes out of the cloud, but I think processes are really going to be  driven on-premises and they are going to include cloud resources. The  ability to on-board those cloud resources is needed to support the  changes in the processes and is really going to be the value of cloud  computing.
That the area that’s probably the most exciting thing.  I just came back from 
Gluecon in Denver. That is, in a sense, a cloud developers’  conference, and they're all talking about 
application programming  interfaces (APIs) and building the next infrastructure.
When  those things come online, become available, and we don’t have to build  those things in-house, we can actually leverage them into a "pay per  drink" basis through some kind of provider, buying those into our  processes. We'll perhaps have thousands of APIs that exist all over the  place, and perhaps even not even local data within these APIs.
That’s where the value of cloud  computing is going to appear, and we  haven’t seen anything yet. There  are huge amounts of value being built  right now.
They just  produce behavior, and we bring them together to form these core business  processes. More importantly, we bring them together to recreate these  core business processes around new needs of the business.
Reed:  It's the same for me. I was also at Gluecon this week, and there were  several threads going on. Certainly the API thread was fascinating in  terms of the sheer number of APIs that were being created and the  various approaches being used in those things.
At the same time,  one of the other tracks was on a whole set of concerns around the legal  and security risks associated with piecing all this together. As it was  the developers’ conference, the legal thread was less attended than the  API thread. But, there is obvious concern about how all these things  piece together, how we put the controls in place, and where we get those  services from.
I definitely agree with Dave that some of the  core processes, especially for larger and more security-sensitive  organizations that consider their core IT to be their business  processes, are going to be maintained internal to the organization. Some  may be willing to put them out, but in majority of cases, we find  people want to retain the IT internally.
But being able to reach  out through those APIs in a safe and secure way, controlled way, to get  data, analysis, and capabilities from within the cloud is definitely  where we are headed. That Google analytics stuff is one example.
Internal  or externalWe've already  seen in terms of analysis tools, the 
GIS stuff, geographical  information, where people are just putting maps up and overlaying stuff.  The data may be internal to them, but the capability of drawing a map  and getting the geographical data comes from outside, and that’s created  incredible types of what we call mashups, such that we expect and have  seen in some cases.
Businesses are now doing their own mashups  and they only get there by understanding how all these APIs, these  security tenants, these legal requirements, come together. In some  cases, they're ignoring those for expediency today, but ultimately the  management of those things is going to be key here.
Linthicum:  Just a short comment on that. One of the things that was not a message  that was well received at Gluecon, being a bunch of developers, was that  you need to do your stuff in the context of a good security strategy  and a good governance strategy. So, how you are going to leverage these  systems and policies and usage you put around it? That really becomes  the core problem to solve before you go off and make this happen.
I  don't know if you saw my keynote presentation I did the first day of  the conference, but I went into a lot of those things. When I talked to  some of the attendees, I noticed that really wasn’t well understood or  even well received.
That’s a tad scary, because they're driving  out in the market, creating and leveraging these APIs. In many  instances, they're ungoverned. They're insecure. We don’t know exactly  what they're doing, and they actually can create some vulnerabilities,  which will open the risk that costs way more than any kind of benefits  we're getting from cloud computing.
I think it requires them to translate their governance  concepts and  their controls into a new environment. It's going to take  some real  thinking to do that.
Gardner: Jim Reavis,  let’s look into governance a bit. When companies start exploring more  business process and agility efficiencies around cloud, they get exposed  in ways that they wouldn’t if they were locked down inside their four  walls.
But, becoming exposed, sharing data, exploring and using  APIs from other parties, doesn’t this, in a sense, force these companies  to adopt better methods and policies and start thinking about things  that they probably should have been doing anyway? The question is, does  cloud, by its nature, force organizations to become better at things  like governance, policies, and best practices?
Reavis: I  think it requires them to translate their governance concepts and their  controls into a new environment. It's going to take some real thinking  to do that.
I was one of the three, I guess, who didn’t go to  Gluecon. So, thanks Dave and Archie for not inviting me. I guess it's  because they're authors and I just read cartoons all the time, but I  think the points there are very well made.
We're going to see the  market provide the SOA governance and brokering tools that allow you to  control a lot of these things and give the customer the ability to put  in 
XAML, for example,  and create some policies that they can embed and have some brokering  involved, so that when the developers are out trying to create these  mashups with a variety of different APIs, they can insert some sort of  policy governance and have that look like another SOA-type service.
Frameworks  and toolsWe're not trying  to dictate to the developers completely how they develop these new  applications, but we are giving them some frameworks and tools that they  can embed in the way they understand things, in the way they like to do  business.
I want to quickly mention, though, that we've got a  huge history behind us that tells us that internal networks are not  locked down and secured. Having data on 100,000 machines, laptops, and  every place else that has no controls over it, is a pretty perilous  place to be.
Now, we understand that we're moving to a new  platform. Let’s do our best to control that, but let’s try and deflate  little bit that traditional IT is more secure than cloud. I'm really not  ready to say that.
Reed: There are a couple of points I  want to make, so that we're sure we're not just hand waving and all  that. I think the incentives, the risks, and all those things change  dependent on the type of business we're looking at.
Ultimately, it does require that you  shore up a lot of your security and  governance processes within  organizations that probably don’t do  security and governance processes  as well as they think they do.
Certainly, when we talk to  smaller organizations and mid-sized organizations as well, they're  looking for the edge that they can gain in terms of cost and support  and, in most cases, more security. In this case, they look for broader  back-office solutions than perhaps some of the larger organizations,  things such as email, account management, HR, and so forth, as well as  front-end stuff, basic web hosting and more advanced versions of that.
We've  implemented things like 
Microsoft  Business Productivity Online Suite (BPOS) for many customers,  especially in the mid range. They do find better support, better up  time, better cost controls, and to Jim’s point, more security than they  are able to provide for themselves.
When we get to talk to larger  organizations, some are looking for this. We know, even in the  financial industry, which you might consider to be one of the most  security paranoid type environments there are outside of the  three-letter agencies, they find that kind of thing appealing as well.  Some of those have actually gone to use 
Salesforce.com for some of their  services.
But, they're generally more concerned with the  security stuff and they often find specific capabilities more appealing  in a service model, such as data processing, data analysis, data  retrieval, functional analysis, and things like that. The mashups are  definitely more popular as a type of model or the service-oriented  nature is more popular model with larger organizations that we talk to.
Gardner:  What do you think Dave Linthicum? Is there an under-appreciated value to  cloud in that, in moving to cloud models, you have to 
adopt the right  processes around security, governance, and other risk mitigating  activities that makes you a stronger, better company overall. That is to  say, cloud is 
like New York -- if you can make it there, you can make  it anywhere?
Linthicum: Ultimately, it does require that  you shore up a lot of your security and governance processes within  organizations that probably don’t do security and governance processes  as well as they think they do.
Huge exposuresIn some of the audits that I do, I often find huge  exposures in how they do the on-prem systems. As they're moving into  cloud, they push back on the security aspects of it all the time, and  people are walking off on a daily basis with laptops full of customer  data, critical data, and their IT. They just don’t understand it,  because they don’t have the audits, the best practices, and the security  mechanisms around that.
Moving into cloud is going to make  people think in a very healthy, paranoid state. In other words, they are  going to think twice about what information goes out there, how that  information is secured and modeled, what APIs they are leveraging, and 
service  level agreements (SLAs). They're going to consider encryption and  identity management systems that they haven’t done in the past.
In  most of the instances that I am seeing deploying cloud computing  systems, they are as secure, if not more secure, than the existing  on-premise systems. I would trust those cloud computing systems more  than I would the existing on-premise systems.
That comes with  some work, some discipline, some governance, some security, and a lot of  things that we just haven’t thought about a lot, or haven’t thought  about enough with the traditional on-premise systems. So, that’s going  to be a side benefit. In two years, we're going to have better security  and better understanding of security because of cloud.
Gardner:  So, as we're now looking for even more benefits, paybacks, and  improvements to your overall business by being a cloud adopter, how  about at the competitive level? It seems to me that there are benefits  to first movers.
In terms  of first mover, late to market, or fast follower, there’s  always a  potential risk and benefit to any of those things.
It's been  established by some of the best management consultants and business  schools in the world that being the first to a market gives you very  powerful benefits. Does cloud offer the opportunity for those who are  willing to do the work and be aggressive and innovative an opportunity  to enter markets in new ways?
One example is Apple computer.  Apple has been aggressive. They don’t talk about cloud, but when you  look at 
MobileMe, 
iTunes downloads, and the 
App Store, these to me are  cloud-based services that have allowed Apple to 
grow mightily in the  past few years, not just based on their devices, but based on their use  of cloud.
So, there’s a 
first-mover advantage. Do you all agree -- and we  will go around the panel -- that there’s a competitive benefit, at least  for the foreseeable future, in your own markets, as enterprises have  exploited cloud as a competitive cudgel. How about that, Archie?
Reed:  In terms of first-mover, late-to-market, or fast-follower, there’s  always a potential risk and benefit to any of those things. I agree that  perhaps Apple has benefited, but I wouldn’t call them first movers in  this space. I would say that they have been fast followers.
By  that, I mean that even if you look at iTunes or the iPod itself, those  things came after existing services already were in place. What they  were able to do, if we take that as an example, was tie those together  into an ecosystem that basically created their momentum to move forward.
Scaling  really fastThe reality is  not that the advantage is being able to be the first mover in cloud  computing, but the fact that cloud allows you to scale and go big really  fast. It allows you to sit in the fast-follower position and gain just  as much as any first mover, because the gap between seeing a business  opportunity and being able to deliver on that requirement or business  opportunity is so much less than what it was previously.
You  don’t have to ramp up huge amounts of services that take months. You can  scale up in a matter of hours or days. As long as the wave isn’t so  huge, and it rarely ever is, you can always get into that market space  using this type of model.
Gardner: I'd like to pick up on  one of the points you made about being able to establish an ecosystem.  If you're exploiting cloud effectively, does that give you an advantage  in how you can carve out an ecosystem, become a hub, and therefore be in  a very profitable position within that ecosystem?
Reed:  I'll take a quick stab at that. I think there's going to be a window for  a number of years where that is the case. There will be businesses that  are willing and able and can manage cloud-type environments to their  benefit. But, eventually, the gaps become so small and the availability  of these services online becomes so ubiquitous that I'm not sure how  long this window goes for.
I don’t want to say that, in a few  years, everybody will be able to deliver the same thing just as quickly.  But for the moment, I think there’s a few forward thinking  organizations that will be able to achieve that to great success.
There are going to be a lot of new  capabilities that will only be  accessible in this platform, and they're  going to come a lot quicker.
Gardner: Jim Reavis,  same to you. What about the competitive benefits that businesses should  consider when evaluating cloud in terms of that cost benefit analysis?
Reavis:  Businesses are so dependent on technology now and into the future, and  we always try to stay innovative and competitive. If you just look at  this from a developer standpoint, you don’t see a lot of new  applications for the 
Commodore  64 anymore.
The organizations that are developing what they  think is state-of-the-art, but it’s not cloud, are going to be  struggling, because all of the neat, interesting new developments. It’s  hard to even put your head around all of implications of compute-as-a-utility and all the innovation we are going to see, but we know it’s  going to be on that platform.
If you think of this as the new  development platform, then yeah, it’s going to be 
a real competitive  issue. There are going to be a lot of new capabilities that will only be  accessible in this platform, and they're going to come a lot quicker.
Five  years from nowSo, in terms  of the first movers and the environment now, it’s going to look very  different. Anybody who carved out some space right now and some lead in  the market in cloud shouldn't feel too comfortable about their position,  because there are companies we don't even know about at this point,  that are going to be fairly pervasive and have a lot to say about IT  five years from now.
Reed: I just want to make a point  there, Jim. You can actually get a Commodore 64 emulator for the iPhone.  So, there may be some new stuff coming up. I'm not sure, but it is  possible.
Gardner: Yeah, there is 
the long tail in  reverse. It’s backward-compatibility from the cloud.
Dave  Linthicum, same question to you, the competitive benefits of being  aggressive in cloud computing at some of the highest business issue  levels.
Linthicum: We already talked about the business  agility aspect of it, but ultimately, even as these younger companies  who are leveraging more cloud than a lot of the older companies out  there start to grow up, they are going to find that their IT CAPEX costs  are, in many instances, nonexistent.
They are going to have some  on-premise systems, but they are used to putting things in the cloud.  They are Salesforce.com adopters early on. They're using 
Amazon now.  They've figured out security and governance and ultimately they are  going to have these very agile business systems that are able to run  rings around their competition.
Some  of the things we always talk about around enterprise architecture  are  going to kill the company, because they can’t do the acquisitions  and  they can’t move into market spaces.
I don’t think we're going  to see this anytime soon, but I definitely think that by 2015 or 2016,  you're going to see some businesses suffering from IT bloat. They're  very static, monolithic systems, very difficult to change, and very  fragile. Some of the things we always talk about around enterprise  architecture are going to kill the company, because they can’t do the  acquisitions and they can’t move into market spaces.
By the way,  their new competitors that came out of nowhere get cloud computing  because they've used it from the get-go. They're going to be able to  leverage that as the strategic value that’s going to allow them to  dominate the market. We're seeing some of this today in some of the  smaller spaces, but it’s not very pronounced.
But, it’s going to  be very pronounced to the point that business journals are going to talk  about it, and a lot of companies are going to go out, because some of  the folks are able to leverage technology for strategic IT advantage to  beat them into the ground. Look at Wal-Mart. They leveraged IT for a  huge strategic advantage to beat their competitors into the ground to  lower their prices. We're going to see that a hundred times over in five  years.
Reed: I'd agree. I can give you an example, Dana. I  spoke to a very small group of individuals, fewer than 50. They're  designers and architects, and they've come together to form this  company. Their claim was that they didn’t need any IT anywhere, because  they were using cloud services for everything.
Even the  provisioning system, the controls about who had access to what, was all  done in the cloud. All they needed was their big old Macs, the 27-inch  Macs, and their huge HP screens. As long as they could get online, they  were in business.
This small company's claim, when I was talking  to them, was that they had just beaten out the largest established  architectural firm in Ireland for a bid in Dublin. They had done that by  being able to work round the clock, online, at all times, and deliver  it to the customer in a much shorter time than anyone else was able to.  They did it all through cloud services.
So, it’s quite compelling  to see small businesses compete with the larger businesses, and unless  big businesses understand what’s going on, we're going to see a few  start to lose business in this sense.
Gardner: Well, I'm  afraid we'll have to leave it there. Suffice it to say that we've  clearly identified in the market, over the past several years, some  significant hurdles and risks to cloud computing. But, some of these  benefits also sound extremely compelling and almost not an option, when  you consider the competitive issues. That cost-benefit analysis can  easily come down on the side of a must-do, even if the risks are  substantial.
We've been talking about identifying some of the top  reasons and paybacks for adopting cloud computing and why you should  perhaps do those sooner rather than later.
I want to thank our  panel. We've been joined by Archie Reed, HP’s Chief Technologist for  Cloud Security and the author of several publications including "The  Definitive Guide to Identity Management" and "The Concise Guide to Cloud  Computing." Thank you so much, Archie.
Reed: Thank you.
Gardner:  We've also been joined by Jim Reavis, executive director, Cloud  Security Alliance and president of Reavis Consulting Group. Thank you  Jim.
Reavis: Thanks, Dana.
Gardner: Lastly, I  also want to thank Dave Linthicum, CTO of Bick Group and a prolific  cloud blogger, podcaster, and you said that you did your 100th cloud  podcast recently Dave?
Linthicum: Just 
filed a 100th  podcast, after two years.
Gardner: Congratulations. And  also the author of 
several notable books. Thanks to you.
This is  Dana Gardner, Principal Analyst at Interarbor Solutions. You've been  listening to a sponsored BriefingsDirect podcast. Thanks for listening  and come back next time.
Listen to the podcast. Find    it on iTunes/iPod       and Podcast.com. Download       the transcript.  Sponsor: HP.Transcript  of a BriefingsDirect podcast on how adopting cloud  computing models can lead  enterprises to gain business and technology  benefits. Copyright  Interarbor Solutions, LLC, 2005-2009. All rights reserved.You may also be interested  in: